The article presented a specific quotation as a direct Frank Knight quote without noting its uncertain… → Added a note that the quotation is a widely circulated paraphrase rather than a verified direct quotation…
View proof record →The article described reference class forecasting as the primary empirically validated method for correcting… → Softened the claim to describe it as one of the more empirically supported methods rather than the primary…
View proof record →The article cited a specific McKinsey 2023 report figure and a Heneghan et al. → Generalized both citations to what can be verified, correcting the study-design inconsistency (a review…
View proof record →The article stated CIA analysts have been formally required to maintain structured analytical records since… → Scoped the claim to what public accounts of intelligence-community reforms actually document, rather than…
View proof record →The article said Maxwell was twenty years younger than Faraday, presented the ~7-item working-memory limit… → Corrected the age gap, added the Miller/Cowan attribution and qualification, and scoped the battery-forecast…
View proof record →The article's own math gave 0. → Corrected the claim to accurately describe the size of the discrepancy between the calculation and the…
View proof record →The article attributed a widely repeated quotation directly to Einstein and characterized Perrow's Normal… → Flagged the quotation's uncertain attribution and reframed Perrow's work as case-study-based rather than a…
View proof record →The article attributed the habit-quotation directly to Aristotle's Nicomachean Ethics, credited Klein's 1999… → Corrected the quotation's attribution, separated Klein's 1999 book from his later pre-mortem work and its…
View proof record →The article said the Good Judgment Project's top quartile became superforecasters, and that Astro Teller's… → Corrected the superforecaster selectivity to roughly the top 2% and fixed the attrition-rate arithmetic (1 in…
View proof record →The article stated Gary Klein developed the pre-mortem technique in 1989, the same year as the… → Corrected Klein's pre-mortem to its 2007 Harvard Business Review origin, distinguishing it from the 1989…
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