
Key Decision-Making Terms People Misuse
Risk vs uncertainty: Risk has known probabilities, uncertainty doesn't. Heuristics are mental shortcuts, biases are systematic errors.
Contributions
Every accepted correction to this page is recorded with the exact change, so readers can see how the page improved over time.
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Corrected a misstatement of causal inference methodology: the article presented Austin Bradford Hill's 1965 epidemiological criteria and Judea Pearl's causal calculus as if they shared one unified 5-item checklist, when they are distinct frameworks from different eras with different purposes. Hill explicitly described his criteria as informal guidelines, none individually necessary or sufficient, not a strict checklist. Pearl's causal calculus formalizes causal identification specifically for cases including observational data where no experiment or intervention is possible, so listing 'intervention changes outcome' as a shared requirement inverted the point of his work. The article also overstated randomized controlled trials as the singular 'gold standard,' omitting quasi-experimental and observational-causal-inference methods.
What the page claimedArticle conflated two distinct causal inference frameworks into a false unified checklist and overstated their alignment with a single evidentiary gold standard.
What was correctedSeparated the two frameworks, described Hill's criteria as informal non-exhaustive guidelines, described Pearl's causal calculus as a separate formal framework for causal identification including from observational data, and broadened 'gold standard' to acknowledge quasi-experimental and observational methods.
Why: This finding was originally identified by Codex's fact-check pass; independent verification confirmed the misstatement on all three points before correction.
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