Correction

Correction: An Introduction to Second-Order Thinking and Its Examples

Corrected by Emir Baycan · Full-Stack Developer, Mobile App Builder and Web Platform Founder with expertise in SEO, automation, SaaS, AI visibility, DevOps and scalable digital products

Emir Baycan found something wrong, outdated, or unsupported on this page and proposed a fix. The publisher accepted the correction.

Role
Correction
Status
Accepted
Date
29 July 2026

The exact change

Before

Article misattributed a real, correct statistic to the wrong source and year, and overstated the speed of a well-documented market event's recovery.

After

Corrected the antibiotic-resistance statistic's attribution to the real Lancet/GRAM source and year; corrected the Flash Crash recovery timeframe to approximately 30 minutes.

Suggested change

See before/after.

Why this is better

Philip Tetlock's real forecasting research (82,000 predictions, 284 experts, 20 years) verified as fully accurate; the historical case studies (Green Revolution, Sarbanes-Oxley, ACA, Amazon Marketplace, Facebook News Feed) all checked out as directionally accurate, with only minor imprecision in some figures like SOX compliance costs, which vary widely across real studies and were left as a reasonable order-of-magnitude estimate rather than fabricated.

How this record is verified

  • The contribution is tied to a real, identified contributor, not an anonymous byline.
  • It counts only because the publisher, When Notes Fly, accepted it. Self-claimed work earns nothing.
  • It is recorded against a specific page and cannot be bought or edited after the fact.
See the full page record View the published page

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