Concepts

Pre-Mortem Analysis: Anticipating Project Failures

Published by When Notes Fly

https://whennotesfly.com/concepts/decision-making/pre-mortem-analysis

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  1. 28 July 2026 · corrected by Emir Baycan

    Corrected a date error: Gary Klein's pre-mortem technique was popularized in his 2007 Harvard Business Review article 'Performing a Project Premortem,' not developed by him in 1989 - 1989 is the year of the Mitchell, Russo, and Pennington study that established the prospective-hindsight effect Klein's technique builds on. Verified accurate and left in place: the Mitchell/Russo/Pennington 1989 study description, the Klein HBR 2007 group-norm quotation, and the Klein 2015 Naturalistic Decision Making interview quotation.

    Before

    The article stated Gary Klein developed the pre-mortem technique in 1989, the same year as the Mitchell/Russo/Pennington prospective-hindsight study his technique is based on.

    After

    Corrected Klein's pre-mortem to its 2007 Harvard Business Review origin, distinguishing it from the 1989 academic study it builds on.

    Why: The two distinct dates (1989 academic study, 2007 practitioner technique) had been conflated into one. Correction separates them using the article's own correctly-cited 2007 HBR quotation.

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Full contribution timeline

  1. Correction 28 July 2026

    Emir Baycan: Corrected a date error: Gary Klein's pre-mortem technique was popularized in his 2007 Harvard Business Review article 'Performing a Project Premortem,' not developed by him in 1989 - 1989 is the year of the Mitchell, Russo, and Pennington study that established the prospective-hindsight effect Klein's technique builds on. Verified accurate and left in place: the Mitchell/Russo/Pennington 1989 study description, the Klein HBR 2007 group-norm quotation, and the Klein 2015 Naturalistic Decision Making interview quotation.

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