Analytical Models vs Intuition

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Correction history

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1. 28 July 2026 · corrected by Emir Baycan

   Corrected five mis-cited or unverifiable studies: generalized a specific Christine Tanner 2001 Nursing Research deterioration-accuracy result (the matching title is a 2008 editorial) to the established nursing-judgment finding about experienced nurses recognizing early deterioration; separated the Danziger et al. Israeli parole food-break study from the clinical-versus-mechanical-prediction literature (Meehl; Grove) that actually documents formulas matching or beating expert recidivism prediction; corrected the Lieberman X-/C-system attribution from a 2003 Psychological Review paper co-authored with Eisenberger to Lieberman's early-2000s social-cognitive-neuroscience work, framed as a proposed model; noted that the Dijksterhuis unconscious-thought advantage originates in 2004-2006 work and that later replications (including 2012) often failed, making the effect contested; and corrected the Goldman 1996 chest-pain study from a head-to-head cardiologist-versus-algorithm comparison to its actual design as a risk-prediction rule that complements clinician judgment.

   Before

   The article attributed a deterioration-accuracy finding to Tanner 2001, framed Danziger as comparing recidivism predictions with regression, cited a Lieberman-Eisenberger 2003 Psychological Review X/C-system paper, claimed a 2012 Dijksterhuis unconscious-thought advantage, and described Goldman 1996 as showing an algorithm beat cardiologists.

   After

   Fixed each attribution and study description to the primary record and flagged the contested status of the unconscious-thought effect.

   Why: Several citations named the wrong author, journal, year, or study design. Corrections fix the attributions and scope the claims rather than adding new sources.

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Full contribution timeline

1. Correction 28 July 2026

   Emir Baycan: Corrected five mis-cited or unverifiable studies: generalized a specific Christine Tanner 2001 Nursing Research deterioration-accuracy result (the matching title is a 2008 editorial) to the established nursing-judgment finding about experienced nurses recognizing early deterioration; separated the Danziger et al. Israeli parole food-break study from the clinical-versus-mechanical-prediction literature (Meehl; Grove) that actually documents formulas matching or beating expert recidivism prediction; corrected the Lieberman X-/C-system attribution from a 2003 Psychological Review paper co-authored with Eisenberger to Lieberman's early-2000s social-cognitive-neuroscience work, framed as a proposed model; noted that the Dijksterhuis unconscious-thought advantage originates in 2004-2006 work and that later replications (including 2012) often failed, making the effect contested; and corrected the Goldman 1996 chest-pain study from a head-to-head cardiologist-versus-algorithm comparison to its actual design as a risk-prediction rule that complements clinician judgment.

   Proof record →